Miami Open - WTA : Predictions and Bets

Discussion in 'Pro Tennis (Womens)' started by Bert, Mar 22, 2016.

  1. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    Hi guys,

    Miami Open is starting today and so is our friendly betting competition.

    Anyone can join, we all start with a virtual budget of 100$. For those who are not familiar with betting and odds, here a link to a post that explains everything. If this is still not clear, ask me, I am here to help.

    Here is the match list for day #1 :

    upload_2016-3-22_14-5-21.png


    I will bet 2$ on Kasatkina who did well in Indian Wells and 10$ on Flipkens. And you ?
     
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  2. britbox

    britbox Multiple Major Winner

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    I'll go $10 on Zhang and $10 on Strycova.
     
  3. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    100 % success on this first day :

    @britbox : +1.8 + 4.8 + 100 = 106.6 $
    @Bert : +2.3 + 1.16 + 100 = 103.46 $

    Good start !!
     
  4. Moxie

    Moxie Multiple Major Winner

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    Well done guys. I haven't even started paying attention.
     
  5. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    Don't wait too long Moxie ! Britbox and I will be soon out of reach... or not :)
     
  6. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    Women main draw - Day #2

    upload_2016-3-23_16-38-7.png upload_2016-3-23_16-39-2.png

    I will bet 5$ on McHale and 5$ on Garcia.
     
  7. britbox

    britbox Multiple Major Winner

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    I will put $25 on Pliskova. $35 on Cibulkova.
     
  8. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    Just be sure that you picked the right Pliskova. The one playing today is Kristyna Pliskova not Karolina who made the semis last week in Indian Wells. Kristyna is #101. Karolina is #14. Still seems a good pick but worth checking :)
     
  9. britbox

    britbox Multiple Major Winner

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    Actually bert, I had the wrong Pliskova. I'll keep the bet but lower the amount.

    I will put $5 on Pliskova. $35 on Cibulkova.

    Thanks for noticing!!
     
  10. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    They are twins :) Not easy to distinguish !!!
    upload_2016-3-23_18-0-59.png upload_2016-3-23_18-1-54.png
     
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  11. Moxie

    Moxie Multiple Major Winner

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    I'll put $20 on Cibulkova, $15 on McHale and $5 on Knapp.
     
  12. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    Today's results :

    @britbox = +11.9 + 0.8 + 106.6 = 119.3 $ (4/4 so far)
    @Moxie = +6.8 + 9.15 - 5 +100 = 110.95 $ (2/3)
    @Bert = +3.05 + 1.85 + 103.46 = 108.36 $ (4/4)

    Doing good guys !!!
     
  13. britbox

    britbox Multiple Major Winner

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    I nearly stuck some on Genie but thought twice and decided not to... good job, as she's just capitulated in the first round.
     
  14. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    Yes there are some players who are not good for bettor's nerves : Bouchard, Gulbis, Paire, Cornet... :)
     
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  15. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    Women draw - Day #3
    upload_2016-3-24_18-45-19.png

    Watson - Stephens should be interesting. Watson leads 4-2 against Stephens but lost their 2 more recent matches (French Open and Eastbourne 2015). Watson already played once in Miami, that's the first match for Stephens.
    I will have an eye on Kasatkina-Halep too. Kasatkina is really impressive this season. I think Halep is stronger but I am curious to see how it goes.
    I don't really understand why odds are so high for Bacsinszky against Gasparyan. Bacsinszky had a slow start in 2016 but showed really good things in Indian Wells.

    But the most exciting from a betting point of view is Safarova-Wickmayer IMO. That's a good example of odds setting nightmare. Safarova is #15 and struggles with health problem since September 2015. This is only her third match in 2016 (2 losses). Wickmayer's season is not great but she had an easy win against Knapp in the 1st round and may have more energy and competition to win it.

    I will bet 5$ on Wickmayer and 5$ on Bacsinszky.
     
  16. britbox

    britbox Multiple Major Winner

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    $5 on Goerges. $30 on Radwanska.
     
  17. Moxie

    Moxie Multiple Major Winner

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    I'll put $20 on Radwanska. I'm sort of surprised how long McHale's odds are to beat Serena, because she is much improved. I don't want Serena to lose, but I'll put $2 on McHale, just in case Serena has another bad day.
     
  18. britbox

    britbox Multiple Major Winner

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    She certainly gave Serena a little bit of a fright.
     
  19. Moxie

    Moxie Multiple Major Winner

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    I don't mind losing the bet, but I was not wrong that she was undervalued in the odds. McHale is pretty scrappy. She has a good serve. And obviously, Serena wants to win Miami again, so she is feeling the pressure.
     
  20. Bert

    Bert Masters Champion

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    Today's results :

    @britbox = +6.75 + 4.2 + 119.3 = 130.25 $ (6/6)
    @Moxie = +2.8 -2 + 110.95 = 111.75 $ (3/5)
    @Bert = +3.2 +3.5 + 108.36 = 115.06 $ (6/6)
     
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